2025 Kansas State Predictions on the HG
Jake Wimberly
Ross Gaskin Contributing:
What’s to like:
Chris Klieman and his Wildcats are looking terrific heading into the 2025 football season. During their great 9-4 2024 season, the emergence of star QB Avery Johnson catapulted Kansas State into playoff contention for 2025. Last season, Avery Johnson threw for 2,712 yards and 25 TDs while rushing for 605 yards and 7 more TDs.
Along with their star QB, Kansas State has a great RB and WR to complement Johnson’s game. Running back, Dylan Edwards, was the backup last season, but he still rushed for 546 yards and 5 TDs. Wide receiver Jayce Brown, led the Wildcats in receiving yards last season with 823 yards and 5 TDs. The Wildcats offense will be electric for the 2025 season.
What’s not to like:
The biggest things that will be against Kansas State in 2025 is how competitive the BIG 12 will be and how weak their schedule will be. The BIG 12 continues to improve year after year, and with teams like Arizona State and Colorado joining, it only has gotten tougher. The biggest obstacle for Kansas State in 2025 will be Texas Tech.
Texas Tech seemingly has done everything right and they are becoming one of the best teams in the BIG 12. We have Texas Tech predicted to win the conference, beating Kansas State for the title. With the conference championship loss, and a very weak schedule, Kansas State, most likely, will not receive a playoff spot from the committee.
What does the Hourglass say?
Kansas State- Big 12 (11-1)
Power ranking 97.82. 14th toughest schedule in the Big 12.
2025 Kansas State Analytics
National recruiting rating (three year metric): #52- outside the boundary of a National Championship Roster.
National Coaching Ranking:
Chris Klieman- 18th in Power 5 and 3rd in the Big 12.
2024 coaching value= 12 (average 2025 Power 5 coaching value=9.3) Chris Klieman ranks about middle of the pack for coaches in the Power 5.
ODE analytics 2024 Nationally:
Offensive Ranking: 36th
Defensive Ranking: 27th
Quarterback Play: Johnson- ranked 13th in the Power 4, 6th in the Big 12; 2024 QB value= 19.7 (Power 4 average- 14.41).
Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Kansas State has an Impact Ball Catcher Metric of 3. This puts the Wildcats at around average for the Big 12 in this metric.
From Vegas:
Kansas State ATS in 2024: 4-9
Kansas State at home: 3-3
Kansas State on the road: 1-5
Kansas State neutral site: 0-1
Final thoughts:
The Kansas State Wildcats are moving quickly up the ranks as one of the best teams in the nation. They have a great coach with Chris Klieman, Avery Johnson has been proving himself to be a star, and there are plenty of other stars all across the team. If the Wildcats can fight through a tough BIG 12, they could get the chance to compete for a Natty.
2025 Schedule analysis:
Projected Hourglass W/L record: Games in red denote games that could be a one possession game or even a different outcome than projection.
Editors Note: All photos courtesy of 247sports.com
