2024 NC State Football Projections on the HG

Jake Wimberly

Brook Sperandeo Contributing

What’s to like:

Grayson MCall finally hit the transfer portal and went from one Carolina to another. The Coastal Carolina transfer has put up massive numbers during his college career, and the Wolfpack hope that continues in 2024.

The Pack ranks fourth in the HG overall ACC power rankings as Dave Doeren continues to recruit well and put out a quality ball club at NC State.

The defense is really strong and has been ranked among the best in the country. As of 2023 they rank at 17th. 

What’s not to like:

Performance against ranked competition - last year the Pack was 0-4 against ranked opponents and if this team is going to legitimately compete for the ACC Championship, they are going to have to answer the bell when the time comes this year.

What does the Hourglass say?

2024 NC State – ACC (9-3)

  Four-year analytic percentage of NC State=  90 percent

2024 NC State Analytics

National Recruiting Ranking (three-year metric): 29th - inside the boundary of a National Championship Roster.

National Coaching Ranking: Dave Doeren - 44th in the country, 8th in ACC;

2024 coaching value= 5 (average 2023 Power 5 coaching value= 8.35)  Dave Doeren ranks at an average level coach. 

ODE Analytics for 2023 nationally: 

Offensive Rank: 66th 

Defensive Rank: 17th

Quarterback Play: Grayson McCall - ranked 4th in the Power 5, 2nd in the ACC; 2024 QB value= 26.7. Above the (Power 5 average- 14.78)

Impact Ball Catcher Metric: Georgia has a 3 on a scale of 1-5, skill talent is there.

From Vegas:

NC State ATS in 2023: 7-6-0

NC State at home: 5-2-0 

NC State on the road: 2-3-0

NC State at neutral site: 0-1-0

FINAL THOUGHTS:

Games against Tennessee and at Clemson, as well as at California will define this team this year. The Pack will likely be favored in 8 games this year, but again - can this team get it done against the better competition on their schedule?

The Pack also concludes the year with a matchup against North Carolina.

9-3 is the landing spot, but 10-2 would put them in the conversation for the College Football Playoff.

2024 Schedule Analysis:

Projected Hourglass W/L record: Games in red denote games that could be a one possession game or even a different outcome than projection.

Note: All photos courtesy of 247sports.com